Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 22.321582 25.863121 29.720196 34.224411 39.331121 44.932057 51.530920
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 16.151499 20.939189 26.681067 34.033465 43.152556 54.042301 67.977269
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 12.211020 17.335236 23.972555 33.108227 45.249510 60.710686 81.748563
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.900673 15.173534 22.456784 33.095123 48.047201 68.090695 96.717521
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.314524 13.634245 21.407744 33.360800 50.983093 75.652241 112.341350
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.561108 11.496462 19.114054 31.420320 50.406299 78.090001 120.845996
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.845943 10.835986 18.901229 32.477943 54.223399 87.004595 139.206740
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.387860 10.510360 19.141169 34.214371 59.171716 97.913302 161.279003
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.566980 9.408940 17.935178 33.413460 59.944948 102.398948 173.774528
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.771788 8.213400 16.390368 31.819736 59.190488 104.313324 182.243190
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.594782 8.172220 16.893533 33.844484 64.708778 116.749811 208.460959
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.558823 8.405036 17.922120 36.905641 72.264422 133.057840 242.074762
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.168922 7.868956 17.471238 37.280085 75.271852 142.246086 265.045113
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.732121 7.159804 16.595522 36.766503 76.660803 148.848868 284.297276
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.314602 6.410473 15.522510 35.715253 76.902981 153.394713 300.237396
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.041331 5.948744 14.989765 35.689354 79.098438 161.611871 323.269754
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.826848 5.589881 14.628710 35.971228 81.909558 171.146861 349.314674
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.494098 4.847508 13.269641 33.894312 79.665847 170.860443 356.978702
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.390755 4.713125 13.336562 35.026053 84.244331 184.121701 391.213393
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.333644 4.700499 13.700940 36.883743 90.538390 201.194264 433.849609
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.152785 4.278133 12.960985 36.026972 90.786884 206.093133 452.880443
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.961919 3.776737 11.930269 34.321671 88.945462 206.533702 462.992600
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.942395 3.831760 12.419462 36.488072 96.184370 226.425370 513.733758